TOP HEADLINES

Gold Steady as Market Holds Breath Before Tight US Election 

Gold was steady as the market braced for a tight US election, and a Federal Reserve rate decision later in the week. Uncertainty around the presidential vote on Tuesday has aided bullion in the last few weeks. A victory for Donald Trump could push the precious metal up further, given he’s pledging a massive increase in trade tariffs that may fuel inflation. However, the closeness of the race means the final result may not be known for days. Bullion has surged by around a third this year, and is about $50 an ounce below last week’s record high. It’s been supported by easier monetary policy, central-bank buying and heightened geopolitical tensions. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by a quarter-point on Thursday, with many of its rich world peers also likely to lower borrowing costs. 

BIS withdraws from Project mBridge after BRICS lauded its potential to aid in dedollarization 

 

Project mBridge was a key talking point at the recent BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia, with the bloc touting its ability to enable the transfer of wholesale central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) among member nations, aiding their de-dollarization efforts. The project, which was launched by the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) in 2021, utilizes technology developed by the Hyperledger Foundation, and in June, it reached the status of minimum viable product, at which point private sector participation was opened. Besides the BIS, the project's founding members include the central monetary authorities of China, Hong Kong, Thailand, and the UAE. Saudi Arabia joined as a full member in June, and the project now has over 25 observing members. But with the tool’s potential to aid Russia in skirting the sanctions placed on the country for its invasion of Ukraine, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has now announced that it has “graduated out” of the project it has spearheaded since 2021. During a fireside chat on Thursday at the Santander International Banking Conference 2024 held in Madrid, Spain, Agustin Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, responded to a question regarding media speculation that “Project mBridge could provide the basis for a BRICS initiative to circumvent sanctions,”

Citi says gold could get sold off after the US election 

Says Trump win more supportive of equities than gold 

Wall Street Journal convey the info from analysts at Citi: 

  • A win by Trump, who proposes tax cuts, would likely support equities instead of gold
  • Gold fell by 8.2% in the month that followed Trump’s 2016 victory
  • Gold is held by some as a hedge against uncertainty, has tended to struggle in the weeks following most U.S. elections since the 1980s 

Citi still like buying dips: 

  • bull market remains intact
  • expect prices to rise to $3,000/oz over the next six months (weakening US labor market and rising ETF demand) 

Gold prices may rise further in '25 - UBS CHINA 

Gold prices may rise to $2,800 per ounce by year-end and could even reach $3,000 next year, according to recent estimates by financial services provider UBS. Factors driving gold price hikes include the rate-cutting cycle started by the US Federal Reserve and major central banks, a weakening US dollar index and ongoing geopolitical risks. "Meanwhile, many central banks continued to buy gold, which has buoyed investor sentiment. Overall market positions remain low, providing significant room for increased holdings, and institutional investors' willingness to buy gold is increasing," said Sharon Ding, head of China Basic Materials at UBS. Gold prices have reached record highs this year. The average London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) pm auction gold price for the third quarter was 28 percent higher year-on-year at a record $2,474 per ounce, according to calculations by the World Gold Council (WGC). Total gold supply increased by 5 percent year-on year to a record 1,313 metric tons in the third quarter, WGC data showed. Ding also noted that the outcome of the US election could impact gold prices, leading to short-term risks of a pullback.

 

GOLD TECHNICAL INDICATOR

 

 

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by our analysts for and on behalf of MAGI Metals Pvt Ltd. The report is intended to be circulated among our clients. This material is for the information of the end users and is not intended as an offer or a solicitation of offer. Information compiled in this material is gathered from sources firmly believed to be reliable and consistent and all efforts have been made to corroborate and authenticate the same before using in this material. However, we do not make any representation or warranty as to the correctness, accuracy, validity or integrity of such data gathered from third party sources. The information provided in this material is indicative only and does not constitute any investment advice from MAGI Metals Pvt Ltd to its clients or any users of such report. MAGI Metals doesn't take any responsibility for investment actions or decisions taken by users of this material. We expressly prohibit the distribution and transfer of this material to third parties for any reason. We will not be liable for any law suits or claims from any third parties arising from the use or distribution of this material. This report is for distribution only under such circumstances.

Author: Magi Desk1

Back to Newsletters